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Strategy

Edge

Definition

Edge is the percentage advantage a bettor has over the bookmaker on a given wager. It is calculated as the difference between the true probability of an outcome and the implied probability from the odds. A positive edge means the bet has positive expected value.

Formula

Edge = (True Probability x Decimal Odds - 1) x 100%

Example

True probability 55%, odds offered 1.95. Edge = (0.55 x 1.95 - 1) x 100% = 7.25%. This means you expect to profit 7.25 cents per dollar wagered over the long run.

Related OddsLab Feature
Edge Analysis

Track your Edge with OddsLab

OddsLab automatically calculates and tracks key metrics for every bet you place — no spreadsheets required.

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